Notre Dame
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 93.3780Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 12-10 208 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 25- 0 213 A Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 12- 9 215 A Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 88.8) 10- 7 222 H Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 7- 9 228 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 12- 9 308 A Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 9-13 310 A Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 16- 5 314 A Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 11-17 321 H Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 22- 3 324 H Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 20- 2 328 H California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 17- 4 404 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 13- 9 406 A Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 21- 7 411 A Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 9-10 416 H Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 85.9) 18- 3 422 N Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 9-12 508 N James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Michigan 12-10 2 1 1.17
208 H Central Michigan 25- 0 25 20 0.00
213 A Boston College 12- 9 3 -1 + 3.72
215 A Harvard 10- 7 3 3 -0.21
222 H Virginia 7- 9 -2 4 --- -6.19
228 H Pittsburgh 12- 9 3 6 - -3.04
308 A Clemson 9-13 -4 -3 -1.27
310 A Elon 16- 5 11 9 1.93
314 A Stanford 11-17 -6 -4 - -2.09
321 H Florida State 22- 3 19 12 + 2.01
324 H Robert Morris 20- 2 18 19 0.00
328 H California 17- 4 13 12 1.07
404 A Virginia Tech 13- 9 4 5 -0.88
406 A Liberty 21- 7 14 10 + 3.67
411 A Syracuse 9-10 -1 -1 0.08
416 H Louisville 18- 3 15 9 ++ 5.19
422 N Clemson 9-12 -3 -1 -1.64
508 N James Madison 12-13 -1 3 - -3.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Virginia 7- 9 -2 4 --- -6.19 228 H Pittsburgh 12- 9 3 6 - -3.04 314 A Stanford 11-17 -6 -4 - -2.09 508 N James Madison 12-13 -1 3 - -3.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 H Louisville 18- 3 15 9 ++ 5.19 213 A Boston College 12- 9 3 -1 + 3.72 321 H Florida State 22- 3 19 12 + 2.01 406 A Liberty 21- 7 14 10 + 3.67 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 12-10 -5.98 34.19 -1.37 0.96 63.17
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 25- 0 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 0.96 25.60
3 A Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 12- 9 -7.17 33.00 1.37 0.96 66.14
3 A Harvard ( 6- 9, 88.8) 10- 7 -11.10 29.07 1.37 0.96 58.59
3 H Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 7- 9 -9.34 30.82 -1.37 0.96 -5.15
3 H Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 12- 9 -11.19 28.97 -1.37 0.96 53.14
3 A Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 9-13 -5.16 35.01 1.37 0.96 -1.83
3 A Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 16- 5 -16.96 23.21 1.37 0.96 47.31
3 A Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 11-17 -3.98 36.19 1.37 0.96 -1.26
3 H Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 22- 3 -17.14 23.02 -1.37 0.96 41.68
3 H Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 20- 2 -24.46 15.71 -1.37 0.96 27.61
3 H California ( 6-11, 82.8) 17- 4 -17.08 23.08 -1.37 0.96 41.80
3 A Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 13- 9 -12.77 27.39 1.37 0.96 55.36
3 A Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 21- 7 -18.22 21.95 1.37 0.96 44.87
3 A Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 9-10 -6.81 33.36 1.37 0.96 -2.62
3 H Louisville ( 6- 9, 85.9) 18- 3 -13.96 26.20 -1.37 0.96 47.80
3 N Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 9-12 -5.16 35.01 -0.00 0.96 -2.48
3 N James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 12-13 -9.04 31.13 -0.00 0.96 -4.35
------
555.38
|
winning pts = 573.0720 losing points = -17.6893
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------